Wednesday, July 28, 2021

Preparing for another Burnt Offering

After replacing many of my reprints with originals, the only thing left to do is burn the reprints.  

1952 and 1953 Topps

1952 and 1953 Topps

1951 Bowmans

1952 and 1953 Bowmans

This 99T card came as a bonus from one of my recent orders.  When I get modern cards like this I tend to rip and toss the non-Topps cards into the garbage, but the Topps cards get to go into the fire.

To be continued...

51B Acquisition of the Day

 Through the flood of 51B's coming in, I recently picked up a notable hall of famer to spotlight.  It cost me $18 + $1 shipping + $1.33 tax = $20.33 total.  It lists for $200 BV in my 2018 Beckett Almanac, but I see that in my June/July 2021 Beckett Vintage, it's now listed for only $120.  I'm not sure I agree with the new listing here.  A 40% price drop seems pretty significant.  Perhaps a hidden gem.  I also noticed that Whitey Ford #1 dropped from $2500 down to $1500.  I think that is probably a more realistic drop. The excessively high price in the past was rumored to be because card #1's were destroyed by rubber bands, but it seems that the Whitey Ford RC received extra special attention.  I could even see Ford's card dropping down to $1000, but in this current market, $1,500 may be reasonable.  As far as Pee Wee Reese, I'm not so sure.  I always thought that his cards were a little overpriced in comparison with other players of similar caliber due to the fact that he was willing to put his arm around Jackie Robinson.  With the 40% price drop, I guess integration doesn't need him anymore.  Only time will tell I guess.  I also noticed that Bob Feller finally gained some respect.  His cards always sold for more than twice BV, and Beckett is finally recognizing this fact by increasing his card from $120 to $200.  Now I won't feel so bad seeking out some of his cards but I think his cards are still being undervalued by Beckett.  Perhaps $300-$350 is more appropriate for his 51B.  


Tuesday, July 27, 2021

So many new 51B's...

I consider myself to be a strictly Topps flagship set collector, but how do I explain collecting the 48-55 Bowman sets then?  I guess to me, these old Bowman sets are like the alter ego to the Topps sets.  They help make a seamless transition to Topps through the 50B and 51T, which are the same-sized cards.  Since many players only signed a deal with one brand or another, the two sets also complement each other with different players.  Needless to say, these old Bowmans form a very important part of my early collection that Topps couldn't do alone.  However, Bowman doesn't get much respect in the set pricing arena, which good for set building.  Here are some of the set pricing comparisons from a current Beckett Vintage: [52T=$150,000 ~ 52B=$10,000], [53T=$20,000 ~ 53B=$14,500], [54T=$20,000 ~ 54B=$8,000], and [55T=$15,000 ~ 55B=$6,000].  Now the 51B at $40,000 blows the 51T set out of the water at $2500, which is the only outlier.  A notable mention is the 53B set, which gets some comparable respect.  Anyhow, here's a bunch of new 51B's coming to my collection.  Sorry about the photo quality.


Saturday, July 24, 2021

Binging on Vintage and Market Analysis

As you can probably tell, I've been binging on vintage lately.  Going from relatively no posts in March and April to now 12 posts in July, a correlation in my acquisitions can be made.  We've seen 51-53 Bowmans and 52-63 Topps grace these pages as new acquisitions.  My 53T set has been "stuck in the mud" for quite some time as I've been reluctant to pay the high-number prices for $50-$100 BV cards.  The one thing you can always count on is that I'll search the entire spectrum of my wantlist to locate the "deal of the market" specials.  Amazingly, I've still been able to find them on Ebay every once in a while.  Sportlots used to be a reliable second source for me, but it seems the everyone's now discovered that source, so there aren't too many vintage deals available.  I used to find vintage commons for as low as $0.17 in masses that I could load up on a 100 singles at a time.  I'll still go there, but it'll be for just a small handful of cards at most.  Vintage superstars used to be available for 10%-20% BV no problem, but now I'd rather go to Ebay for those cards to get a better deal.  

With the market as high as it is now, the question is whether this is a market correction from 20+ years of stagnation, or whether this is a short-term trend headed for another crash like 1991.  Although I began to predict this boom between 2016-2018, I feared another market crash.  That may still be the case for 21st century cards, but I've pulled out of that complicated market and will leave that mess for someone else to figure out.  During the crash of 1991, it was the modern cards that took a major nosedive first between 1991-1992.  At the time, the modern cards included primarily 1980's, but the 1970's also took a major dip during the mid-to-late 1990's.  The 77T dropped 45%, while 72T dropped only 25%.  The vintage market didn't react as sharply.  Many of the 60's sets dropped only 20% while the 50's sets only dropped by about 10%.  Data was compiled by entering all monthly set prices into a spreadsheet and graphing it.  I used Baseball Cards Magazine from 1981-1984 and Beckett Baseball Monthly from 1984-2001 since I own nearly every issue of each.           

Friday, July 23, 2021

Another 61T Milestone Acquisition: Mickey Mantle MVP

There's been two 61Tcards lingering out there I that needed to close the gaps in my set--and Mickey Mantle #475 was one of them.  The other one is Juan Marichal #417.  With this recent acquisition, my 61T checklist now only has one hole in it.  Otherwise, we're talking about 36 missing high-numbers from #524-586.  That's bearable, but that missing Marichal is annoying.  My 2018 vintage almanac says this card has a $200 BV, but I know that Beckett has finally been changing their pricing lately, so I wouldn't be surprised if this card has a $250 BV or more.  Overpaid my under $40 hopes by a little since this card cost me $40 + $4 shipping + $3.19 tax = $47.19 total.  This acquisition also completes a complete run of every Mantle card from 1958-1969, although I may have fewer older ones sprinkled in there too.        


Thursday, July 22, 2021

52T Overrated No More

 Growing up in the 1980's, I always learned that 1952 was Topps' set.  Well, I found out different years later when I got out of the Army and started collecting cards again in 2001.  At the time, I couldn't understand why the rookie set had been ignored and much easier to acquire than the second-year set.  51T cards were the same size as 48B, 49B, and 50B cards, so it made perfect sense.  I decided to collect the 51T set instead and then purchased the reprint set of 52T for familiarity.  Now that I've completed 51T (and nearly completed 53T, 54T, and 55T),  it naturally makes sense to begin looking at 52T.  With card prices either rising far above BV, or Beckett now actually changing BV's, I've had to relook at what I think is a good deal out there in the market.  For 52T, common cards with a $40 BV is much higher than any other Topps/Bowman common card prices in the 1950's.  Fortunately, 52T commons haven't risen much further above BV than the other card prices, making collecting 52T commons more attractive to me right now.  Here are 4 new ones for me.

Tuesday, July 20, 2021

And from Out of Almost Nowhere...

 I haven't added anything new to my 61T set in a few years.  The cost of high-numbers rivals 53T high-numbers despite what the price guides say.  I put a bid on this bad boy thinking "who cares", but apparently, so did everyone else.  At $2.45 shipped, I'd call this a great deal--especially for a high-number with a rookie star on it.  High-numbers for $5 would be eaten up by me because they're hard to find below $10.  My price guide still says they're worth $30 BV, but the market appears to be saying they should be worth $100 BV.  Anyways, 61T is now at 549 out of 587.  It would certainly be nice to find one more of these to add to my collection, but I'm patient.